AP Statistics Formula Sheet
Move from a formula to a defensible statistical method. Use this original reference to connect descriptive statistics, probability, sampling distributions, inference and regression with their assumptions and interpretations.
Read this scope first
Main quantitative relationship groups for selected 2026–27 AP Statistics learning: descriptive data, probability and binomial models, sampling distributions, proportion and mean inference, categorical association, and regression description. Not complete course coverage or a reproduction of College Board’s reference booklet. Removed legacy topics are explicitly excluded.
Official reference pages and revision scope were checked; original calculations and explanations require separate independent review. Qualified educator approval is not claimed.
Independent checks and qualified educator review are separate. This original study resource does not claim official endorsement, a validated score prediction or a pass guarantee.
A reference for the revised 2026–27 course
This original learning reference follows the revised five-unit AP Statistics framework and the 13-page College Board reference booklet marked ©2026. It explains the main quantitative relationships with variables, conditions and independently written examples. It is not a reproduction of the official booklet, a complete course or an official exam simulation.
The official formula pages are physical pages 4–5 of that booklet. Those pages provide some formulas directly and others as general inference structures with standard errors. We label those distinctions rather than implying that every worked substitution is printed in the official reference. Probability tables and digital-entry notation remain in the official booklet; they are linked, not republished here.
- Not included as current-course topics: geometric distributions, combining random variables, chi-square goodness-of-fit and inference for a regression slope. These were explicitly removed in the 2026–27 revision.
- Regression description/prediction and chi-square tests of independence or homogeneity remain relevant; removal of slope inference or goodness-of-fit does not remove all regression or all chi-square work.
- Sampling design, investigative questions, experiment design and interpretation require reasoning beyond any formula.
- Independent qualified educator review is pending; linked catalog questions retain their published foundation scope.
Describe quantitative data and relative position
Distinguish a sample summary from a population parameter. A statistic describes the observations you have; the sampling design determines whether it supports a broader claim.
Sample mean
- xi: the ith observed numerical value
- n: positive number of observations
- x-bar: sample mean
Worked example
Four original delivery times are 2, 5, 8 and 9 minutes. Find the mean.
- Sum the times: 2+5+8+9=24 minutes.
- Divide by n=4: 24/4=6 minutes.
Answer: 6 minutes
Sample standard deviation
- xi: sample values
- x-bar: sample mean
- n>1: sample size
- s: sample standard deviation in the original units
Worked example
Find the sample standard deviation of 1, 3 and 5 cm.
- The mean is 3 cm. Squared deviations are 4, 0 and 4 cm².
- Divide their sum 8 by n−1=2 to get sample variance 4 cm².
- Take the square root: s=2 cm.
Answer: 2 cm
IQR and the 1.5-IQR outlier fences
- Q1,Q3: first and third quartiles using the stated convention
- L,U: lower and upper fences
Worked example
For a distribution with Q1=12 and Q3=20, find the fences and decide whether 35 is flagged.
- IQR=20−12=8.
- L=12−1.5(8)=0; U=20+1.5(8)=32.
- 35>32, so 35 is an upper flagged value.
Answer: Fences 0 and 32; 35 is flagged.
Standardize a value or recover a normal-model cutoff
- x: value or cutoff
- mu: population/model mean
- sigma>0: population/model SD
- z: standardized value
Worked example
Under a stated normal model with mean 64 and SD 3, standardize 70 and recover the cutoff with z=−1.5.
- For 70, z=(70−64)/3=2.
- For z=−1.5, x=64+(−1.5)(3)=59.5.
- Interpret 70 as 2 model SDs above the mean, not as a probability.
Answer: z=2; cutoff 59.5.
Probability and random variables
Specify the chance process and the event before computing. Mutually exclusive events and independent events are different ideas: disjoint nonzero-probability events cannot be independent.
Complement and addition rules
- A,B: events
- A^c: complement of A
- union means at least one event occurs
Worked example
Suppose P(A)=0.35, P(B)=0.40 and P(A and B)=0.10. Find P(A or B) and P(not A).
- P(A or B)=0.35+0.40−0.10=0.65.
- P(not A)=1−0.35=0.65.
Answer: Both requested probabilities are 0.65.
Conditional probability and the general multiplication rule
- A,B: events
- P(B)>0: probability of the conditioning event
Worked example
If P(B)=0.30 and P(A and B)=0.18, find P(A given B) and check the product rule.
- P(A given B)=0.18/0.30=0.60.
- The product 0.30×0.60 returns P(A and B)=0.18.
Answer: P(A given B)=0.60.
Mean and SD of a discrete random variable
- xi: possible numerical outcomes
- pi=P(X=xi): nonnegative outcome probabilities summing to 1
- mu_X: expected value
- sigma_X: long-run SD
Worked example
An original random variable takes 0, 2 and 4 with probabilities 0.25, 0.50 and 0.25. Find its mean and SD.
- mu=0(0.25)+2(0.50)+4(0.25)=2.
- Variance=(0−2)^2(0.25)+(2−2)^2(0.50)+(4−2)^2(0.25)=2.
- SD=sqrt(2), approximately 1.414.
Answer: Mean 2; SD sqrt(2), approximately 1.414.
Binomial count probability
- n: fixed number of trials
- p: common success probability
- k: integer success count from 0 through n
- C(n,k): number of ways to choose the k successful trials
Worked example
Five independent trials each succeed with probability 0.4. Find the probability of exactly two successes.
- The stated process satisfies the binomial conditions with n=5, p=0.4 and k=2.
- C(5,2)=10, so P(X=2)=10(0.4)^2(0.6)^3.
- Evaluate 10×0.16×0.216=0.3456.
Answer: 0.3456
Mean and SD of a binomial count
- n: number of independent trials
- p: fixed success probability
- X: number of successes
Worked example
For 50 independent trials with p=0.2, find the mean and SD of the success count.
- Mean=50×0.2=10.
- SD=sqrt(50×0.2×0.8)=sqrt(8), approximately 2.828.
Answer: Mean 10 successes; SD approximately 2.828 successes.
Sampling distributions: distinguish SD from estimated SE
A population SD describes the repeated-sampling spread under specified population parameters. A standard error substitutes sample information to estimate that spread. Neither quantity is the spread of all individual measurements in one sample.
Spread of a sample proportion
- p: population success proportion
- p-hat: sample success proportion
- n: sample size
Worked example
For independent samples of size 100 with true p=0.4, find SD(p-hat). In one sample p-hat=0.45; find its estimated SE.
- True-model SD=sqrt(0.4×0.6/100)=sqrt(0.0024), approximately 0.04899.
- Estimated SE=sqrt(0.45×0.55/100)=sqrt(0.002475), approximately 0.04975.
- The SD uses true p; the SE estimates it from p-hat.
Answer: SD approximately 0.04899; estimated SE approximately 0.04975.
Spread of a sample mean
- mu,sigma: population mean and SD
- s: sample SD
- n: sample size
Worked example
A population has SD 12 and independent samples of size 36 are drawn. In one such sample s=15. Find SD(x-bar) and its estimated SE.
- The model SD is 12/sqrt(36)=12/6=2.
- The sample-based SE is 15/sqrt(36)=15/6=2.5.
Answer: SD 2; estimated SE 2.5, in the measurement units.
Confidence intervals and tests for proportions
Write the population parameter and alternative direction before using a calculator. An interval uses estimated uncertainty around the observed estimate; a test uses uncertainty under its null model. Pool proportions only when the null hypothesis warrants it.
Confidence-interval structure
- theta-hat: estimate of the target parameter
- c*: critical multiplier for the chosen method and confidence level
- SE: appropriate standard-error estimate
Worked example
For an appropriate stated method, an estimate is 72, its SE is 3 and the supplied critical multiplier is 2. Find the interval.
- Margin of error=2×3=6.
- Endpoints are 72−6=66 and 72+6=78.
- No confidence level is inferred from the supplied multiplier alone.
Answer: (66,78)
One-proportion z interval
- p-hat=x/n: observed success proportion
- n: sample size
- z*: standard-normal critical value
Worked example
A random sample of 400 from a much larger population contains 240 successes. Build a 95% interval using z*=1.96.
- p-hat=240/400=0.60; observed counts 240 and 160 exceed 10.
- SE=sqrt(0.6×0.4/400)=0.0244949.
- Margin=1.96×0.0244949≈0.0480100. Endpoints are approximately 0.55199 and 0.64801.
Answer: Approximately (0.5520,0.6480) for the population proportion.
One-proportion z test statistic
- p0: proportion specified by H0
- p-hat: observed sample proportion
- n: sample size
Worked example
In a random sample of 200 from a much larger population, 120 are successes. For H0:p=0.5, calculate z.
- p-hat=120/200=0.60. Null expected successes and failures are both 100.
- Null SE=sqrt(0.5×0.5/200)=sqrt(0.00125)≈0.0353553.
- z=(0.60−0.50)/0.0353553≈2.8284.
Answer: z≈2.8284; select a p-value tail from the prespecified alternative.
Plan a proportion interval sample size
- m>0: desired margin of error
- p-tilde: planning estimate of the population proportion
- z*: critical value for the confidence level
Worked example
Plan a 95% proportion interval with margin at most 0.05 using z*=1.96 and the conservative planning value 0.5.
- Compute n>=1.96²×0.5×0.5/0.05²=384.16.
- Round upward to the next whole observation.
Answer: At least 385 observations under the planning approximation.
Two independent proportions: interval
- p-hat1,p-hat2: sample success proportions in the stated order
- n1,n2: sample sizes
- z*: normal critical value
Worked example
Two independent random samples from much larger populations each have size 200. Their success proportions are 0.60 and 0.45. Find a 95% interval for p1−p2 using z*=1.96.
- Estimate=0.60−0.45=0.15. Success/failure counts are 120/80 and 90/110.
- SE=sqrt(0.24/200+0.2475/200)=sqrt(0.0024375)≈0.0493710.
- Margin≈1.96×0.0493710=0.0967672. Add and subtract from 0.15.
Answer: Approximately (0.0532,0.2468) for p1−p2.
Two independent proportions: pooled null test
- xi: success count in group i
- ni: sample size in group i
- p-hat_i=xi/ni
- p-hat_c: estimated common null proportion
Worked example
Two independent random samples from large populations have 60 successes out of 100 and 40 out of 100. Test H0:p1=p2 by calculating the pooled proportion and z.
- The pooled proportion is (60+40)/(100+100)=0.50; each null expected count is 50.
- SE0=sqrt(0.5×0.5×(1/100+1/100))≈0.0707107.
- z=(0.60−0.40)/0.0707107≈2.8284.
Answer: Pooled proportion 0.50; z≈2.8284.
Means: one sample, paired differences or independent groups
The observational unit chooses the method. Before-and-after measurements on the same person are paired, so analyze one difference per person; two unrelated samples use an independent two-sample method.
One-mean t interval and test statistic
- x-bar,s: sample mean and sample SD
- n>1: sample size
- mu0: null mean
- t*: critical value with n−1 degrees of freedom
Worked example
A random sample of 25 from a much larger, approximately normal population has mean 52 and sample SD 10. Use t*=2.064 for a 95% interval, and compute t for H0:mu=50.
- SE=10/sqrt(25)=2; df=24.
- Margin=2.064×2=4.128, so the interval is (47.872,56.128).
- The test statistic is t=(52−50)/2=1.
Answer: 95% interval (47.872,56.128); test statistic t=1 with df=24.
Paired observations: one t procedure on differences
- di: within-pair difference in a stated direction
- d-bar,sd: mean and sample SD of differences
- n: independent pairs, not number of measurements
- mu_d,0: null population mean difference
Worked example
For four independently sampled pairs, after-minus-before differences are 2, 4, 6 and 8. Assume the population of differences is approximately normal. Calculate t for H0:mu_d=0.
- Mean difference=5. Squared deviations from 5 sum to 9+1+1+9=20.
- Sample SD=sqrt(20/3)≈2.58199; SE=sqrt(20/3)/sqrt(4)≈1.29099.
- t=(5−0)/1.29099≈3.87298, with df=3.
Answer: t≈3.873 with df=3.
Independent means: unpooled standard error
- x-bar1,x-bar2: independent sample means
- s1,s2: sample SDs
- n1,n2: sample sizes
- Delta0: hypothesized population mean difference
Worked example
Two independent random samples from much larger populations have (n1,mean1,s1)=(40,24,6) and (n2,mean2,s2)=(50,20,8), with suitable distribution conditions. Calculate SE and t for a null difference of 0.
- Estimate=24−20=4.
- SE=sqrt(6²/40+8²/50)=sqrt(0.9+1.28)=sqrt(2.18)≈1.47648.
- t=4/1.47648≈2.70914; use the unequal-variance procedure’s degrees of freedom for a p-value.
Answer: SE≈1.4765; t≈2.7091.
Chi-square for independence or homogeneity
Use a two-way count table, not percentages as if they were counts. Independence investigates two categorical variables within a sample; homogeneity compares a categorical outcome across populations or treatment groups. The data collection, not just the table shape, distinguishes them.
Expected count under no association
- Eij: expected count in row i and column j
- N>0: grand total count
Worked example
In a 100-observation two-way table, a cell’s row total is 20 and column total is 30. Find its expected count under independence.
- Multiply the marginal totals: 20×30=600.
- Divide by the grand total: E=600/100=6.
Answer: Expected count 6.
Chi-square statistic and table degrees of freedom
- Oij,Eij: observed and null-expected cell counts
- R,C: table dimensions
- df: degrees of freedom
Worked example
A suitable random sample of 100 gives a 2×2 table with rows [30,20] and [20,30]. Find the independence-test chi-square statistic and df.
- Every row and column total is 50, so each expected count is 50×50/100=25. All are at least 5.
- Each cell contributes (5²)/25=1; the four contributions sum to 4.
- df=(2−1)(2−1)=1. A test decision additionally needs the right-tail p-value and stated significance level.
Answer: chi-square=4 with df=1.
Regression prediction, residuals and explained variation
The revised course retains regression analysis. A line summarizes association and supports predictions within an appropriate domain; it does not establish causation. The removed topic is inference for a population regression slope.
Fitted line and residual
- a: fitted y-intercept
- b: fitted slope
- x: explanatory value
- y: observed response; y-hat: predicted response
Worked example
An original fitted model is y-hat=12+1.5x. At x=8, the observed response is 22. Find the prediction and residual.
- Prediction=12+1.5(8)=24.
- Residual=22−24=−2.
- The observation is 2 response units below the model.
Answer: Prediction 24; residual −2.
Coefficient of determination in simple linear regression
- r: sample correlation, between −1 and 1
- R²: proportion of response variation explained by the fitted linear relationship
Worked example
For a suitable simple linear regression fit with r=−0.8, calculate r² and interpret it.
- r²=(−0.8)^2=0.64.
- About 64% of the variation in the response is explained by its fitted linear relationship with the explanatory variable.
- The negative r indicates a decreasing association; 0.64 itself has no direction.
Answer: r²=0.64, or 64% explained variation in this model.
Choose the method before the numbers
First state the parameter: one proportion, a difference of proportions, one mean, a mean paired difference, a difference of independent means, or a categorical association. Then check how data were collected and what independence/shape conditions the selected method needs.
For an interval, report endpoints and interpret the population parameter in context. For a test, state the null and alternative, use the correct tail, compare a p-value with the prespecified significance level, and describe the evidence without saying that a nonsignificant result proves the null. A small p-value does not measure the size or practical importance of an effect.
| Question structure | Method family | Uncertainty to use |
|---|---|---|
| One binary outcome, one population | One-proportion z interval/test | Interval uses p-hat; test uses null p0 |
| Two independent binary-outcome groups | Two-proportion z interval/test | Unpooled interval SE; pooled null SE only for equal-proportion test |
| One quantitative group | One-sample t | Sample SD divided by sqrt(n) |
| Before/after or matched units | One-sample t on paired differences | SD of differences, and n counts pairs |
| Two independent quantitative groups | Unequal-variance two-sample t | sqrt(s1²/n1+s2²/n2) |
| Two categorical variables or comparison of category distributions | Chi-square independence/homogeneity | Null expected cell counts, not observed counts |
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Version 2026-10-28. Downloads contain original study material with source and scope notes.
Sources and review notes
The references establish the stated framework and source basis. Original examples and study tasks are independently authored; reference links do not imply endorsement or permission to reproduce official test items.
- AP Statistics Exam Reference Information
Version / date: ©2026 College Board, 13-page reference booklet retrieved 2026-10-28
Locator: Physical page 4: descriptive statistics, probability/distributions, generic inference, chi-square statistic. Physical page 5: sampling-distribution SD/SE for proportions and means. Both formula pages visually checked.
- AP Statistics Course and Exam Description
Version / date: Revised 2026–27 course framework; retrieved 2026-10-28
Locator: Units 1–5; physical pp45–46 summary statistics, pp93–112 proportion inference, pp115–118 categorical association, pp129–145 mean inference, pp158–159 regression.
- AP Statistics Revisions
Version / date: Revisions effective 2026–27; current page retrieved 2026-10-28
Locator: Course Revisions and Exam Revisions; removed geometric distributions, combining random variables, goodness-of-fit and inference for slopes; five-unit framework.